Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$867K Vol.
Polymarket

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$1B 38% Yes No
$2B 38% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$867K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027 52% Yes No
December 31, 2026 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$867K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

August 88% Yes No
December 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$864K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

January 31, 2027 60% Yes No
January 15, 2027 50% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$862K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

↑ 82,000 100% Yes No
↑ 84,000 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$861K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$857K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 20%
Yes 80%
$851K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$850K Vol.
Polymarket

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 17%
Yes 83%
$844K Vol.
Polymarket

Solana all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$843K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$837K Vol.
Polymarket

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$825K Vol.
Polymarket World

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$820K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$801K Vol.
Polymarket

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% Yes No
Annie Andrews (D) 16% Yes No
$800K Vol.
Polymarket

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$784K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 24% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$776K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$769K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 12% Yes No
Finland 10% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$763K Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Justin Gaethje 87% Yes No
Arman Tsarukyan 7% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$755K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 2026 36% Yes No
November 30, 2026 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$751K Vol.
Polymarket