Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No
4.4% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$250M 22% Yes No
$100M 20% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Carlos Ulberg 92% Yes No
Magomed Ankalaev 3% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$997K Vol.
Polymarket World

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 17 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$995K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$992K Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sean Strickland 88% Yes No
Nassourdine Imavov 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$980K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 96% Yes No
Milan Iloski 2% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$978K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 48% Yes No
Axel Kicillof 32% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$970K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

June 30, 2027 7% Yes No
December 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$968K Vol.
Polymarket World

Serie A: 2027 Champion

Inter Milan 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$962K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

S&P 500 68% Yes No
Bitcoin 18% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$949K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$945K Vol.
Polymarket World

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0% 96% Yes No
5.0–6.0% 3% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$937K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time 56% Yes No
60+ 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$925K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 18% Yes No
December 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$924K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027 50% Yes No
December 31, 2026 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$919K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela 8% Yes No
Lebanon 6% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$919K Vol.
Polymarket

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R) 62% Yes No
Adam Hamilton (D) 38% Yes No
$918K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$918K Vol.
Polymarket

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Rodrigues 5% Yes No
Tomás Avilés 5% Yes No

+58 more outcomes

$918K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R) 58% Yes No
Josh Turek (D) 42% Yes No
$912K Vol.
Polymarket

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$904K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

↑ $3 100% Yes No
↑ $4 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$882K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto