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MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
Top outcomes
Lionel Messi
59%
Petar Musa
20%
Sam Surridge
6%
Denis Bouanga
5%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$903K Vol.
Closes Nov 22, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$902.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$903K Vol.
Lionel Messi
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
Petar Musa
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on Petar Musa
Explain your No on Petar Musa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sam Surridge
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Sam Surridge
Explain your No on Sam Surridge
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Denis Bouanga
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Denis Bouanga
Explain your No on Denis Bouanga
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hugo Cuypers
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Hugo Cuypers
Explain your No on Hugo Cuypers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tai Baribo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Tai Baribo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Evander
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Evander
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kévin Denkey
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Kévin Denkey
Explain your No on Kévin Denkey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hany Mukhtar
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Hany Mukhtar
Explain your No on Hany Mukhtar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Martín Ojeda
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Martín Ojeda
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brian White
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Brian White
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Milan Iloski
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Milan Iloski
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Prince-Osei Owusu
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Prince-Osei Owusu
Explain your No on Prince-Osei Owusu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dejan Joveljić
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dejan Joveljić
Explain your No on Dejan Joveljić
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Germán Berterame
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Germán Berterame
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Albert Rusnák
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Albert Rusnák
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tadeo Allende
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tadeo Allende
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Louis Munteanu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Louis Munteanu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Diego Rossi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Diego Rossi
Explain your No on Diego Rossi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anders Dreyer
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Anders Dreyer
Explain your No on Anders Dreyer
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cheikh Sabaly
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cheikh Sabaly
Explain your No on Cheikh Sabaly
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Danny Musovski
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Danny Musovski
Explain your No on Danny Musovski
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Idan Toklomati
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Idan Toklomati
Explain your No on Idan Toklomati
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marco Pašalić
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marco Pašalić
Explain your No on Marco Pašalić
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alonso Martínez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alonso Martínez
Explain your No on Alonso Martínez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Djordje Mihailovic
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Djordje Mihailovic
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Philip Zinckernagel
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Philip Zinckernagel
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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