Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Open Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Top outcomes

Venezuela 10%
Indonesia 10%
Lebanon 8%
Kuwait 6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$748K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$748.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$748K Vol.

Venezuela

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Indonesia

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Lebanon

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Kuwait

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Tunisia

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Syria

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Qatar

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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North Korea

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Pakistan

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Saudi Arabia

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Cuba

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Bangladesh

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Bangladesh Explain your No on Bangladesh (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Malaysia

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Afghanistan

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Afghanistan Explain your No on Afghanistan (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Iraq

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Iraq Explain your No on Iraq (optional)

0 / 2,000

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