US military action against Cuba by...? Next French Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Netanyahu out by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Pro Football: 2027 Champion Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? NFL Champion 2027
US military action against Cuba by...? Next French Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Netanyahu out by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Pro Football: 2027 Champion Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? NFL Champion 2027
Open Crypto Polymarket

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

Top outcomes

↑ $3 100%
↑ $4 100%
↓ $1 100%
↓ $3 100%

What price will Lighter hit before 2027?

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$875K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$874.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$875K Vol.

↑ $3

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $4

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↓ $1

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↓ $3

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↓ $1.5

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $1.5 Explain your No on ↓ $1.5 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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↓ $2.5

52% market probability

52%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $2.5 Explain your No on ↓ $2.5 (optional)

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↓ $2

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $6

31% market probability

31%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $8

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $10

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $15

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $12

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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↑ $20

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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