Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela
10%
Yes
No
Kuwait
7%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$913K Vol.
Polymarket
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 5
100%
Yes
No
October 7
100%
Yes
No
+29 more outcomes
$887K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
4%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$872K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$627K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31
74%
Yes
No
November 30
50%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$575K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Maia Sandu
100%
Yes
No
Donald Tusk
100%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$566K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$562K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 1
100%
Yes
No
October 2
100%
Yes
No
+29 more outcomes
$541K Vol.
Polymarket
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$535K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$473K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
June 7
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$458K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
December 31
23%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$449K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$448K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$426K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
October 31
11%
Yes
No
July 14
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$419K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
June 30, 2027
57%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
32%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$404K Vol.
Polymarket
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$355K Vol.
Polymarket
European military action against Iran by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
October 31
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$332K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
December 31
24%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$330K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$327K Vol.
Polymarket
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$309K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 4
100%
Yes
No
October 5
100%
Yes
No
+27 more outcomes
$303K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
March 31, 2027
22%
Yes
No
December 31
9%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$286K Vol.
Polymarket
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
2%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$267K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 25–48