Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
3%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$52.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
June 30
1%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$20.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
June 30
100%
Yes
No
June 7
100%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$16.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$10.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$6.9M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
5%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31
40%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
6%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$4.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
10%
Yes
No
June 15
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
June 30
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
July 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
5%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
Forecasts closed
December 31, 2026
14%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
June 30
26%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Russian strike on Poland by...?
June 30, 2026
2%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
June 30
12%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
September 30
25%
Yes
No
December 31
6%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
India
0%
Yes
No
Canada
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 1–24 of 49