Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$72.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18 100% Yes No
July 20 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$27.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 10% Yes No
November 30 6% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$16.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$12.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

May 31 0% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
October 31 10% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
October 31 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 15% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 64% Yes No
9 30% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

October 31 33% Yes No
September 30 26% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
October 31 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Dopropillia 86% Yes No
Druzkhivka 46% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$955K Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
September 15 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$952K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

March 31, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$853K Vol.
Polymarket