Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
All categories Crypto Economy Politics Esports Sports FIFA World Cup 2026 Pop Culture Science & Tech World Other

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$184K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510 100% Yes No
1520 13% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$140K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Anthropic 90% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$117K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No
1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$116K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+ 89% Yes No
1200–1249 5% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$82K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Moonshot 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 88% Yes No
60%+ 63% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No
September 30, 2027 44% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

SSI public model released by…?

October 31 49% Yes No
September 30 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 72% Yes No
50%+ 55% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$68K Vol.
Polymarket

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-19 48% Yes No
12-15 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$66K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31 99% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Anthropic 66% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 88% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$48K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$48K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by September 30 82% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 88% Yes No
45%+ 84% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027? 88% Yes No
March 31, 2027 44% Yes No
$44K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

OpenAI 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

Anthropic 56% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket