Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
92%
Yes
No
María Corina Machado
4%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$336K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 31
56%
Yes
No
July 31
30%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$335K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump meet with in July?
Joseph Aoun
100%
Yes
No
Keir Starmer
100%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$309K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
79%
Yes
21%
$294K Vol.
Polymarket
Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
180-199
16%
Yes
No
160-179
15%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$293K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
September 30
18%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$276K Vol.
Polymarket
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
July 31, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$273K Vol.
Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo Paes
93%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$267K Vol.
Polymarket
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$261K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
76%
Yes
No
September 30
34%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$258K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
No
4%
Yes
96%
$257K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
51%
Yes
49%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$248K Vol.
Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de Freitas
94%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
4%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No
89%
Yes
11%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
Count Binface
74%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+51 more outcomes
$237K Vol.
Polymarket
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$236K Vol.
Polymarket
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%
Yes
No
Marine Le Pen
90%
Yes
No
+44 more outcomes
$235K Vol.
Polymarket
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
No
80%
Yes
20%
$223K Vol.
Polymarket
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca Hong
83%
Yes
No
David Crowley
9%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$218K Vol.
Polymarket
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31
61%
Yes
No
September 30
40%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$212K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$210K Vol.
Polymarket
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 31
29%
Yes
No
October 31
16%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 145–168