Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez 92% Yes No
María Corina Machado 4% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$336K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?

August 31 56% Yes No
July 31 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$335K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with in July?

Joseph Aoun 100% Yes No
Keir Starmer 100% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$309K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 79%
Yes 21%
$294K Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

180-199 16% Yes No
160-179 15% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$293K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$276K Vol.
Polymarket

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
July 31, 2026 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$273K Vol.
Polymarket

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes 93% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$267K Vol.
Polymarket

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$261K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 76% Yes No
September 30 34% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$258K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

No 4%
Yes 96%
$257K Vol.
Polymarket

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 51%
Yes 49%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$248K Vol.
Polymarket

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 94% Yes No
Fernando Haddad 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$241K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface 74% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$237K Vol.
Polymarket

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$236K Vol.
Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 95% Yes No
Marine Le Pen 90% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$235K Vol.
Polymarket

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$223K Vol.
Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Francesca Hong 83% Yes No
David Crowley 9% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$218K Vol.
Polymarket

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 61% Yes No
September 30 40% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$212K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$210K Vol.
Polymarket

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 29% Yes No
October 31 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$202K Vol.
Polymarket