Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
88%
Yes
No
December
8%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$558K Vol.
Polymarket
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
94%
Yes
No
Marine Le Pen
92%
Yes
No
+44 more outcomes
$558K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
70%
Yes
30%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$536K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$534K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24
44%
Yes
No
25-29
24%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$530K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Daniel Penny
26%
Yes
No
Donald Brodie
24%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$519K Vol.
Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$516K Vol.
Polymarket
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$508K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$506K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
20%
Yes
No
Mahmoud Khalil
17%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$502K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$486K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund
74%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+33 more outcomes
$473K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
84%
Yes
No
October 31
20%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$464K Vol.
Polymarket
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$463K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$453K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$446K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D)
72%
Yes
No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
28%
Yes
No
$438K Vol.
Polymarket
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
62%
Yes
No
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
31%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$433K Vol.
Polymarket
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Aaron Ford (D)
52%
Yes
No
Joe Lombardo (R)
48%
Yes
No
$424K Vol.
Polymarket
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
October 31
5%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$419K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 145–168