Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$19.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leadership change by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
June 30 5% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 34% Yes No
Gadi Eizenkot 29% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$14.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 71% Yes No
Reza Pahlavi 6% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$14.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
July 31 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$14.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 6% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$14.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel closes its airspace by...?

June 30 29% Yes No
June 15 17% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$11.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Forecasts closed
Karen Bass 60% Yes No
Nithya Raman 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$10.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 56% Yes No
New People (NL) 36% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$10.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Abelardo de la Espriella 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$10.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham 67% Yes No
No Next PM in 2026 22% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$9.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$9.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Oil Sanction Relief 0% Yes No
Enrichment of Uranium 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30 4% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 97% Yes No
Russia 1% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30 69% Yes No
Switzerland 8% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$8.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?

$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 44% Yes No
R Senate, D House 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket World