Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$19.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran leadership change by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
June 30
5%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
34%
Yes
No
Gadi Eizenkot
29%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$14.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
71%
Yes
No
Reza Pahlavi
6%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$14.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
No
July 31
18%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$14.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Forecasts closed
December 31
6%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$14.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
29%
Yes
No
June 15
17%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$11.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Forecasts closed
Karen Bass
60%
Yes
No
Nithya Raman
38%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$10.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
56%
Yes
No
New People (NL)
36%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$10.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Abelardo de la Espriella
100%
Yes
No
Other
0%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$10.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Andy Burnham
67%
Yes
No
No Next PM in 2026
22%
Yes
No
+19 more outcomes
$9.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
Mette Frederiksen
100%
Yes
No
Other
0%
Yes
No
+31 more outcomes
$9.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Oil Sanction Relief
0%
Yes
No
Enrichment of Uranium
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$8.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
Forecasts closed
June 30
4%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
97%
Yes
No
Russia
1%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$8.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
No Meeting by June 30
69%
Yes
No
Switzerland
8%
Yes
No
+17 more outcomes
$8.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?
$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?
$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
44%
Yes
No
R Senate, D House
36%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
April 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 25–48 of 311