Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Core PCE YoY - June 2026

≤3.3% 76% Yes No
3.4% 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Price of Dozen Eggs in July?

$2.00–$2.25 78% Yes No
$2.25–$2.50 12% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

July Unemployment Rate

4.3% 40% Yes No
4.2% 28% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

2.5–2.9% 20% Yes No
4.0-4.4% 11% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No
75% 97% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

No change 92% Yes No
25 bps decrease 7% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$10K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

1600.00+ 57% Yes No
1500.00–1549.99 20% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above __?

$19B 4% Yes No
$18B 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$7K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UK Recession in 2026?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$6K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed abolished before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$6K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?

No 12%
Yes 88%
$6K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

No 41%
Yes 59%
$5K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

No 15%
Yes 85%
$511 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?

No 11%
Yes 89%
$294 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech