Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?

30M+ 86% Yes No
31M+ 78% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+ 96% Yes No
31M+ 90% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change 96% Yes No
25 bps hike 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.4–0.5% 30% Yes No
0.6–0.7% 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

No change 67% Yes No
25 bps increase 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

<-0.3% 34% Yes No
0.0% to 0.2% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No
65% 84% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

30M+ 90% Yes No
31M+ 90% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

25 bps increase 84% Yes No
No change 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change 52% Yes No
25 bps hike 46% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$34K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M 60% Yes No
270M 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

0.0 to 0.1% 36% Yes No
0.2 to 0.3% 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 50%
Yes 50%
$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.29% 100% Yes No
5.32% 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0 42% Yes No
1 38% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$30K Vol.
Polymarket

3rd richest person on December 31?

Mark Zuckerberg 36% Yes No
Jensen Huang 36% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 32%
Yes 68%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

46.0 to 48.9 49% Yes No
43.0 to 45.9 45% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B 43% Yes No
700–800B 21% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$25K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

25 bps decrease 54% Yes No
50+ bps decrease 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$25K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
November 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+ 56% Yes No
$9.000+ 21% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$23K Vol.
Polymarket Economy