Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 70% Yes No
October 31, 2026 42% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$768K Vol.
Polymarket

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No
Sam Altman - OpenAI 10% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$709K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other 60% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Pause 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$556K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other 72% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Pause 24% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$521K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 52% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$422K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2nd Largest Company end of July?

Apple 89% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$390K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in October?

No change 54% Yes No
25 bps increase 32% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$326K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of July?

Alphabet 98% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$290K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change 97% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$275K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No
4.4% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$259K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No
↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$251K Vol.
Polymarket

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0% 100% Yes No
3.7% 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$221K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+ 44% Yes No
1.5–1.8T 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$218K Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.25–$1.5T 16% Yes No
$2.25–$2.5T 16% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m 100% Yes No
1.1m 84% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$174K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries 81% Yes No
Rigetti 69% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$161K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease 74% Yes No
No Change 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$157K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

25 bps increase 82% Yes No
No change 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$122K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 45%
Yes 55%
$119K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by July 31?

↓$10B 100% Yes No
↓$9B 41% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$109K Vol.
Polymarket

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$89K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?

$0.70-$0.80T 47% Yes No
<$0.70T 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

No change 56% Yes No
25 bps increase 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket Economy