Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? EPL: 2027 Champion Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Putin out as President of Russia by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps) 68% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 31 32% Yes No

October 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

+11 more outcomes

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

+8 more outcomes

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$718K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change 96% Yes No

25 bps increase 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$604K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027 91% Yes No

$20B+ 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$598K Vol.

Polymarket

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

+3 more outcomes

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+ 95% Yes No

No IPO by December 31, 2027 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$526K Vol.

Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

+5 more outcomes

Fed Decision in January?

No change 58% Yes No

25 bps increase 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$508K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 45% Yes No

No IPO by December 31, 2027 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$488K Vol.

Polymarket

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 13% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$443K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

+17 more outcomes

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0% 100% Yes No

Below 4.7% 28% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$389K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of October 2026?

+23 more outcomes

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 2026 60% Yes No

January 2027 21% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$384K Vol.

Polymarket

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

<$1T 22% Yes No

$1.5T–$1.75T 18% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$379K Vol.

Polymarket

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 69% Yes No

Hike–Pause–Pause 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$369K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 22% Yes No

December 31, 2028 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$338K Vol.

Polymarket

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase 92% Yes No

No change 7% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$315K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 26% Yes No

December 31, 2028 20% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$279K Vol.

Polymarket

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?