Politics
Elections, policy, and government
191 open forecasts
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Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
78%
Yes
No
June 30
1%
Yes
No
$30K Vol.
Polymarket
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$297K Vol.
Polymarket
Starmer out by...?
December 31
76%
Yes
No
October 31
76%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$31.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 2026
15%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
14%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
90%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
80%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
70%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$32K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
No
82%
Yes
18%
$43K Vol.
Polymarket
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
26%
Yes
No
Édouard Philippe
20%
Yes
No
+34 more outcomes
$99.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
83%
Yes
No
None by June 30, 2027
12%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$717K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
23%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Yes
No
+43 more outcomes
$1198.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco Rubio
16%
Yes
No
JD Vance
15%
Yes
No
+35 more outcomes
$628.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
33%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
23%
Yes
No
+33 more outcomes
$658.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
58%
Yes
No
Republican
40%
Yes
No
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Showing 169–191 of 191