Politics
Elections, policy, and government
416 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
Sorted by date
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No
82%
Yes
18%
$193K Vol.
Polymarket
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$628K Vol.
Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
83%
Yes
No
No Head of State
5%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$39.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$106K Vol.
Polymarket
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$250K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare
46%
Yes
No
Eugen Tomac
23%
Yes
No
+34 more outcomes
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
18%
Yes
82%
$758K Vol.
Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No
74%
Yes
26%
$376K Vol.
Polymarket
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
49%
Yes
No
Benjamin Netanyahu
32%
Yes
No
+17 more outcomes
$34.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
58%
Yes
42%
$319K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$635K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
Yes
No
María Corina Machado
4%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$375K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
J.D. Vance
88%
Yes
No
Pete Buttigieg
87%
Yes
No
+69 more outcomes
$62K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta join the US?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$263K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
No
89%
Yes
11%
$33K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$40.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
No
3%
Yes
97%
$399K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$748K Vol.
Polymarket
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Showing 193–216 of 416