Politics

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat 66% Yes No

Republican 34% Yes No

$512K Vol.

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Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$508K Vol.

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Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R) 56% Yes No

James Talarico (D) 45% Yes No

$501K Vol.

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Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

No 86%

Yes 14%

$474K Vol.

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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?

June 30 8% Yes No

March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$446K Vol.

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Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$436K Vol.

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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Lebanon 2% Yes No

Kuwait 2% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$433K Vol.

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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 33% Yes No

June 30, 2026 5% Yes No

$401K Vol.

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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$366K Vol.

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Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 80% Yes No

Genter Drummond 14% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$338K Vol.

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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico 29% Yes No

United Kingdom 25% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$337K Vol.

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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

December 31 98% Yes No

June 30 5% Yes No

$329K Vol.

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US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 89%

Yes 11%

$329K Vol.

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Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Civilian Service Act 60% Yes No

No to ten million Switzerland 27% Yes No

$309K Vol.

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China x India military clash by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$296K Vol.

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US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

No 46%

Yes 54%

$291K Vol.

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Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

June 30 36% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

$289K Vol.

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 80%

Yes 20%

$282K Vol.

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Who will Trump speak to in June?

Friedrich Merz 98% Yes No

Emmanuel Macron 98% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$275K Vol.

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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie 62% Yes No

Stefan Brodie 59% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$275K Vol.

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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 98%

Yes 2%

$257K Vol.

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$246K Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

800-839 9% Yes No

840-879 8% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$230K Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 56% Yes No

June 30 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$230K Vol.

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