Politics

Elections, policy, and government

193 open forecasts

Trending in Politics

Advanced filters →

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 68% Yes No
Renan Santos 17% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
October 31 30% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 2% Yes No
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 65%
Yes 35%
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party 56% Yes No
Democratic Party 44% Yes No
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 30% Yes No
Linke 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 82% Yes No
Turkey 6% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Before 2027 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Bert Mizusawa 76% Yes No
Kim Farington 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

200-219 24% Yes No
220-239 24% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Alberta join the US?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 28%
Yes 72%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 75% Yes No
Ulf Kristersson 22% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Macron out by...?

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
October 31, 2025 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics