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Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 76% Yes No
Reza Pahlavi 6% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$14.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$11.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 57% Yes No
New People (NL) 34% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$10.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham 63% Yes No
No Next PM in 2026 18% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$9.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30 42% Yes No
Switzerland 26% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$8.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 99% Yes No
Russia 0% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 56%
Yes 44%
$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 44% Yes No
R Senate, D House 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$7.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 82% Yes No
Republican Party 18% Yes No
$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

June 30 100% Yes No
May 15 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump out as President by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 43% Yes No
5 35% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$6.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026 90% Yes No
September 30, 2026 81% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

June 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
September 30, 2026 5% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
June 30 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$4.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Epstein client list released by...?

June 30 2% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 74% Yes No
Robert Kenyon 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics