Politics

Elections, policy, and government

517 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+37 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar 68% Yes No
Likud 32% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 45% Yes No
Benjamin Netanyahu 32% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$48.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

October 31 8% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No
$17K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
Ilhan Omar 100% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$144K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

JD Vance 100% Yes No
Elon Musk 100% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$852K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 8% 100% Yes No
↓ 7% 21% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 35% 100% Yes No
↑ 40% 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

October 31 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$419K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Elon Musk 100% Yes No
Sam Altman 19% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Elon Musk 100% Yes No
Mark Carney 100% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$220K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

October 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$238K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 2 100% Yes No
October 3 100% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$58K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 40% Yes No
48 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

Mo Ivory 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner

Robert Luna 97% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$25K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No
Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$159K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Tim O'Hare 50% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket