Epstein client list released by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Iran leader end of 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Next French Presidential Election Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Presidential Election Winner 2028 Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Iran full airspace closure by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Epstein client list released by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Iran leader end of 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Next French Presidential Election Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Presidential Election Winner 2028 Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Iran full airspace closure by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

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Trump out as President before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$12.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$105K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$121K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$534K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$282K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 17 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$995K Vol.
Polymarket World

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
October 31 12% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$801K Vol.
Polymarket

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$642K Vol.
Polymarket World

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$40K Vol.
Polymarket

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 31 92% Yes No
November 30 65% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$43K Vol.
Polymarket

US strike on Colombia by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World