Economy

Rates, inflation, jobs, and macro trends

158 open forecasts

Events in Economy

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How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20% 38% Yes No
Below 5.15% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50% 28% Yes No
Below 4.45% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$134K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 79% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No
↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$425K Vol.
Polymarket

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

No 40%
Yes 60%
$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.00 19% Yes No
$3.00-$3.50 19% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps) 68% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

3.0 - 3.5M 26% Yes No
2.5 - 3.0M 25% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$122K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple 56% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 74% Yes No
December 15, 2026 66% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$5.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 31%
Yes 69%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 2%
Yes 98%
$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 50%
Yes 50%
$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?

30M+ 86% Yes No
31M+ 76% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed abolished before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$245K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+ 76% Yes No
$6.00-$6.50 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$105K Vol.
Polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No
4.4% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 4% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No
65% 90% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture