Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 88% Yes No
1.5T+ 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Taylor Swift pregnant by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
September 30, 2026 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Human moon landing in 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 95% Yes No
Warren Buffett 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 25% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

↑ 70 100% Yes No
↑ 80 100% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: ERA Leader

Max Fried 4% Yes No
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 15% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

US recession by end of 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026 74% Yes No
November 30, 2026 70% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

MLB: Runs Leader

Drake Baldwin 3% Yes No
Kyle Schwarber 3% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 73% Yes No
Parker Messick 24% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 64% Yes No
9 30% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
September 30, 2026 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: RBIs Leader

Sal Stewart 61% Yes No
Yordan Alvarez 6% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31 39% Yes No
October 31 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics