Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↑ 1,750 100% Yes No
↑ 2,000 100% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$12.9M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

May 31 0% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 10% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$12.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$11.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$11.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$11.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 50% Yes No
R Senate, D House 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027 60% Yes No
December 31, 2026 40% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$10.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$10.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$10.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 88% Yes No
Republican Party 12% Yes No
$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$9.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
September 30 8% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8.7M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 30%
Yes 70%
$8.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 22% Yes No
Coco Gauff 17% Yes No

+64 more outcomes

$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Other 50% Yes No
Player A 50% Yes No

+79 more outcomes

$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k 100% Yes No
↑2k 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 57% Yes No
June 30, 2027 40% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 78% Yes No
6 10% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket World