Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 62%
Yes 38%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

MLB: Runs Leader

Shohei Ohtani 11% Yes No
Ben Rice 6% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner

Jordan Walker 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

US recession by end of 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?

52,000 100% Yes No
54,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 21% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

LPL 2026 Season Winner

Bilibili Gaming 68% Yes No
Anyone's Legend 10% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Esports

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Anthropic 100% Yes No
OpenAI 4% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

June 30 0% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

What price will Bitcoin hit June 1-7?

↓ 60,000 100% Yes No
↓ 62,000 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No
July 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 70% Yes No
Munetaka Murakami 16% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026 23% Yes No
September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
July 31 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team

Miami Heat 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Elon Musk # tweets June 4 - June 6, 2026?

65-89 100% Yes No
<40 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

India 0% Yes No
Canada 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

9 36% Yes No
8 35% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?

40-64 100% Yes No
<40 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Elon Musk # tweets June 22 - June 24, 2026?

90-114 100% Yes No
<40 0% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture