Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$274K Vol.
Polymarket

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$273K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$271K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 28% Yes No
December 31, 2028 22% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$270K Vol.
Polymarket

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$270K Vol.
Polymarket

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$268K Vol.
Polymarket

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D) 95% Yes No
Bruce Blakeman (R) 5% Yes No
$267K Vol.
Polymarket

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

No solution by Dec 31, 2027 34% Yes No
Hodge Conjecture 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$266K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

December 31 41% Yes No
November 30 23% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$262K Vol.
Polymarket

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D) 88% Yes No
Zach Lahn (R) 12% Yes No
$260K Vol.
Polymarket

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$20M 5% Yes No
$10M 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$259K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 66% Yes No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$259K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$258K Vol.
Polymarket

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

150 - 160m 94% Yes No
160 - 170m 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$257K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$256K Vol.
Polymarket

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Morgan Wallen 79% Yes No
Taylor Swift 4% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$255K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 38% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

iRobot 100% Yes No
Workhorse 19% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 97% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
October 31 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket

Natural Disaster in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$251K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M 46% Yes No
$400M 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$247K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$247K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$245K Vol.
Polymarket Economy