Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate N 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$212K Vol.
Polymarket

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 78% Yes No
PSD 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on September 2?

1,900 100% Yes No
2,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$211K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 27% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R) 70% Yes No
Independent 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 66% Yes No
Elmano de Freitas 36% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$204K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 43% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$204K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 54% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$203K Vol.
Polymarket

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026 12% Yes No
September 30 2026 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US x China Military clash before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$201K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

December 31 17% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No
$200K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$196K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$150M 9% Yes No
$100M 8% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$196K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 33% Yes No
September 30 9% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$194K Vol.
Polymarket

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Morgan Wallen 84% Yes No
SZA 2% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$194K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 38% Yes No
1580 19% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$194K Vol.
Polymarket