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MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Top outcomes
Kevin McGonigle
70%
Munetaka Murakami
16%
Travis Bazzana
4%
Chase DeLauter
3%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$1.6M Vol.
Closes Dec 19, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.6m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.6M Vol.
Kevin McGonigle
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 30%
+70 / −30
Munetaka Murakami
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Munetaka Murakami
Explain your No on Munetaka Murakami
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Travis Bazzana
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Travis Bazzana
Explain your No on Travis Bazzana
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chase DeLauter
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Chase DeLauter
Explain your No on Chase DeLauter
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kazuma Okamoto
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Kazuma Okamoto
Explain your No on Kazuma Okamoto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Samuel Basallo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Samuel Basallo
Explain your No on Samuel Basallo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carter Jensen
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Carter Jensen
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spencer Jones
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Spencer Jones
Explain your No on Spencer Jones
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brice Matthews
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Brice Matthews
Explain your No on Brice Matthews
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Leo De Vries
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Leo De Vries
Explain your No on Leo De Vries
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Payton Tolle
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Payton Tolle
Explain your No on Payton Tolle
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Trey Yesavage
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Trey Yesavage
Explain your No on Trey Yesavage
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Connelly Early
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Connelly Early
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Walker Jenkins
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Walker Jenkins
Explain your No on Walker Jenkins
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dylan Beavers
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Dylan Beavers
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Lagrange
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Carlos Lagrange
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carson Williams
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Carson Williams
Explain your No on Carson Williams
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colt Emerson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Colt Emerson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Max Clark
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Max Clark
Explain your No on Max Clark
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tatsuya Imai
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tatsuya Imai
Explain your No on Tatsuya Imai
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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