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MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$1.1M Vol. Closes Dec 19, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.1M Vol.

Munetaka Murakami

45% market probability

45%
Yes 45% +55 / −45 No 55% +45 / −55

Kevin McGonigle

38% market probability

38%
Yes 38% +62 / −38 No 62% +38 / −62

Chase DeLauter

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

Samuel Basallo

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Travis Bazzana

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Trey Yesavage

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Payton Tolle

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Connelly Early

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Walker Jenkins

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Carson Williams

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kazuma Okamoto

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Max Clark

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Dylan Beavers

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Spencer Jones

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Colt Emerson

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Carter Jensen

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Brice Matthews

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Carlos Lagrange

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Tatsuya Imai

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Leo De Vries

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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