Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Russia nuclear test by...? World Cup: Golden Ball Winner Which company has best AI model end of July? Next French Presidential Election Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? World Cup Winner Israel closes its airspace by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? Brazil Presidential Election 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) LCK 2026 Season Winner Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Russia nuclear test by...? World Cup: Golden Ball Winner Which company has best AI model end of July? Next French Presidential Election Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? World Cup Winner Israel closes its airspace by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? Brazil Presidential Election 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) LCK 2026 Season Winner Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

Bass & Raman 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bitcoin above ___ on July 6?

50,000 100% Yes No
52,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Alberta join the US?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Xavier Becerra 100% Yes No
Steve Hilton 100% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Forecasts closed
No 100%
Yes 0%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

J.D. Vance 100% Yes No
Jared Kushner 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

MSI 2026: Winner

Hanwha Life Esports 100% Yes No
T1 0% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 100% Yes No
xAI 0% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO

>1M 100% Yes No
>2M 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US strike on Colombia by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 16% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 20% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bitcoin above ___ on July 13?

54,000 100% Yes No
56,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

July 31 94% Yes No
July 17 89% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Macron out by...?

July 31, 2026 0% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bitcoin above ___ on June 30?

52,000 100% Yes No
54,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will XRP hit in May?

↑ 1.80 0% Yes No
↑ 2.00 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

World Cup: Top Goalscorer

Kylian Mbappe 16% Yes No
Harry Kane 12% Yes No

+42 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports