Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑1k
100%
Yes
No
↑2k
100%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$8.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google
70%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
46%
Yes
No
Google
40%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
No
November 30
24%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
64%
Yes
No
17–19
19%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027
62%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
44%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
New pandemic in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
50%
Yes
No
0
34%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
October 31
100%
Yes
No
December 31
100%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
52%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
14%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$865K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$595K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31
98%
Yes
No
October 31
87%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$527K Vol.
Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
60%
Yes
No
5-6
34%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$525K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
39%
Yes
No
October 31, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$485K Vol.
Polymarket
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
66%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
24%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$440K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Plague pandemic in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$415K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$351K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0
77%
Yes
No
1
12%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$345K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$332K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$318K Vol.
Polymarket
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
No
82%
Yes
18%
$315K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Other
50%
Yes
No
Company A
50%
Yes
No
+33 more outcomes
$300K Vol.
Polymarket
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31
92%
Yes
No
October 31
28%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$295K Vol.
Polymarket
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