Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
December 31, 2026
14%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$565K Vol.
Polymarket
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
97%
Yes
No
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$560K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$540K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$534K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$527K Vol.
Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$525K Vol.
Polymarket
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)
82%
Yes
No
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
Yes
No
$518K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
October 31
9%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$515K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$482K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$482K Vol.
Polymarket
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$467K Vol.
Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
64%
Yes
No
Sen. Dan Sullivan
36%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$465K Vol.
Polymarket
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$462K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$450K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31
50%
Yes
No
September 30
19%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$447K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$444K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan Salame
26%
Yes
No
Stefan Brodie
24%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$438K Vol.
Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo Paes
95%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$434K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$430K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$429K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
90%
Yes
No
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
7%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$428K Vol.
Polymarket
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova
68%
Yes
No
Аndrey Gyurov
30%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$412K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$406K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
September 30
95%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$398K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 121–144