Open Polymarket

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Top outcomes

20-24 44%
25-29 24%
<20 17%
30-34 10%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

$530K Vol. Closes Oct 28, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$529.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$530K Vol.

20-24

44% market probability

44%

Explain your Yes on 20-24 Explain your No on 20-24 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

25-29

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on 25-29 Explain your No on 25-29 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

<20

17% market probability

17%

Explain your Yes on <20 Explain your No on <20 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

30-34

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on 30-34 Explain your No on 30-34 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

35+

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 35+ Explain your No on 35+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.