Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

September 30 14% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER) 96% Yes No
New People (NL) 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 90% Yes No
Switzerland 3% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+50 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 24% Yes No
49 14% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Before 2027 7% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President by July 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds 96% Yes No
James Fishback 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Macron out by...?

July 31, 2026 1% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

JD Vance 100% Yes No
Donald Trump 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 58% Yes No
Republican 40% Yes No
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics