Iran full airspace closure by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Which party will win the House in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? F1 Constructors' Champion
Iran full airspace closure by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Which party will win the House in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? F1 Constructors' Champion

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
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Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 2027 42% Yes No
June 30, 2027 36% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 64% Yes No
Republican 34% Yes No
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D) 60% Yes No
Susan Collins (R) 42% Yes No
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US strike on Colombia by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Alberta join the US?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Macron out by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
July 31, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

June 30, 2027 58% Yes No
March 31, 2027 38% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 9 100% Yes No
October 12 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 82% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+56 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China 74% Yes No
No meeting by December 31 24% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics