Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
September 30
14%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)
96%
Yes
No
New People (NL)
2%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
July 31
1%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
90%
Yes
No
Switzerland
3%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Clacton by-election Winner
Nigel Farage
96%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+50 more outcomes
$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
24%
Yes
No
49
14%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
Before 2027
7%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Trump out as President by July 31?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Alberta join the US?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds
96%
Yes
No
James Fishback
3%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 31, 2026
16%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Macron out by...?
July 31, 2026
1%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
JD Vance
100%
Yes
No
Donald Trump
100%
Yes
No
+18 more outcomes
$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
58%
Yes
No
Republican
40%
Yes
No
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Showing 49–72