Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

AL-05 House Election Winner

Dale Strong (R) 96% Yes No
Andrew Sneed (D) 5% Yes No
$68K Vol.
Polymarket

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 82% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R) 96% Yes No
David Dawson (D) 0% Yes No
$67K Vol.
Polymarket

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 34% Yes No
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate 1% Yes No
$66K Vol.
Polymarket

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Ty Masterson (R) 76% Yes No
Cindy Holscher (D) 24% Yes No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

NE-02 House Election Winner

Denise Powell (D) 95% Yes No
Brinker Harding (R) 5% Yes No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?

Carl Johan Sonesson 97% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF 40% Yes No
Labour + Green 30% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-05 House Election Winner

Lance Gooden (R) 97% Yes No
Chelsey Hockett (D) 1% Yes No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 54% Yes No
National Party 45% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-05 House Election Winner

Gregory Meeks (D) 98% Yes No
George Marsh (R) 2% Yes No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3%+ 95% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D) 95% Yes No
Eric Pratt (R) 4% Yes No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R) 96% Yes No
Steven Shook (D) 4% Yes No
$63K Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep 72% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$63K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

FL-08 House Election Winner

Mike Haridopolos (R) 95% Yes No
Jennifer Jenkins (D) 4% Yes No
$61K Vol.
Polymarket

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Josh Shapiro (D) 97% Yes No
Stacy Garrity (R) 3% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 2 100% Yes No
October 3 100% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$60K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

TX-01 House Election Winner

Nathaniel Moran (R) 97% Yes No
Yolanda Prince (D) 2% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

NC-06 House Election Winner

Addison McDowell (R) 90% Yes No
Cyril Jefferson (D) 10% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket