Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

JD Vance 100% Yes No
Elon Musk 100% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$81K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-05 House Election Winner

Emanuel Cleaver (D) 97% Yes No
Rick Brattin (R) 3% Yes No
$80K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Other 50% Yes No
Person I 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R) 96% Yes No
Jason Pearce (D) 1% Yes No
$80K Vol.
Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

260-279 12% Yes No
220-239 11% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R) 94% Yes No
Fred Clark (D) 4% Yes No
$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$78K Vol.
Polymarket

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D) 94% Yes No
Gregg Hull (R) 6% Yes No
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

NM-02 House Election Winner

Gabe Vasquez (D) 92% Yes No
Greg Cunningham (R) 8% Yes No
$74K Vol.
Polymarket

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D) 58% Yes No
Rob Wittman (R) 42% Yes No
$73K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-04 House Election Winner

Mark Alford (R) 96% Yes No
Jordan Herrera (D) 3% Yes No
$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

1 60% Yes No
2 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-24 House Election Winner

Beth Van Duyne (R) 92% Yes No
Kevin Burge (D) 8% Yes No
$70K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D) 82% Yes No
Jay Feely (R) 18% Yes No
$70K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-50 House Election Winner

Scott Peters (D) 96% Yes No
Steve Cohen (R) 3% Yes No
$69K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D) 60% Yes No
Mike Lawler (R) 40% Yes No
$69K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R) 77% Yes No
Fred Wellman (D) 22% Yes No
$69K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-18 House Election Winner

Scott Franklin (R) 94% Yes No
Curtis Gibson (D) 4% Yes No
$69K Vol.
Polymarket

IL-16 House Election Winner

Darin LaHood (R) 96% Yes No
Paul Nolley (D) 4% Yes No
$69K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$69K Vol.
Polymarket

KY-05 House Election Winner

Hal Rogers (R) 97% Yes No
Ned Pillersdorf (D) 4% Yes No
$68K Vol.
Polymarket