Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 44% Yes No
Toy Story 5 25% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$11.3M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 57% Yes No
New People (NL) 34% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Largest Company end of May?

$10.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Abelardo de la Espriella 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$10.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham 63% Yes No
No Next PM in 2026 18% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$9.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No
25 bps increase 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$9.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30 40% Yes No
Switzerland 27% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$9.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Ethereum hit in May?

↑ 3,000 0% Yes No
↑ 3,200 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$8.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 27% Yes No
September 30 7% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Oil Sanction Relief 0% Yes No
Enrichment of Uranium 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30 4% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 99% Yes No
Russia 0% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 56%
Yes 44%
$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?

$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k 100% Yes No
↑2k 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 44% Yes No
R Senate, D House 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Aryna Sabalenka 22% Yes No
Elena Rybakina 20% Yes No

+45 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports