Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 50% Yes No
25-29.9% 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

July 1 95% Yes No
July 4 94% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in June 2026?

↑ $168 46% Yes No
↓ $132 32% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

22–24 50% Yes No
19–21 38% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Services Down Parlay

No 100%
Yes 0%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

2.8-3.0% 23% Yes No
2.5–2.7% 23% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the announcers say during USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup Match?

Turkey 95% Yes No
Referee 5+ times 92% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

World Cup: Furthest Advancing European Nation

Other 50% Yes No
Country A 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

British Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Kimi Antonelli 34% Yes No
George Russell 26% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

What price will Solana hit on June 3?

↑ 75 100% Yes No
↓ 70 28% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 62%
Yes 38%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Pro Football: Aaron Donald to sign with any team before 2026-27 Regular Season?

No 53%
Yes 47%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

0.4-0.7% 50% Yes No
0.8-1.1% 22% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

June Unemployment Rate

4.3% 50% Yes No
4.4% 28% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will John Ternus say at Apple WWDC 2026 on June 8th?

M5 0% Yes No
Glow 0% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket