Open Pop Culture Polymarket

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

Top outcomes

22–24 52%
25+ 38%
19–21 38%
16–18 2%

This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.

$15K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$15.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$15K Vol.

22–24

52% market probability

52%

Explain your Yes on 22–24 Explain your No on 22–24 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

25+

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on 25+ Explain your No on 25+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

19–21

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on 19–21 Explain your No on 19–21 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

16–18

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 16–18 Explain your No on 16–18 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

13–15

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 13–15 Explain your No on 13–15 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

<10

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on <10 Explain your No on <10 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

10–12

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 10–12 Explain your No on 10–12 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.