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World Cup: Furthest Advancing European Nation
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Country A
50%
Spain
23%
France
22%
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$15K Vol.
Closes Jul 20, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$14.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$15K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Country A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Country A
Explain your No on Country A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spain
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on Spain
Explain your No on Spain
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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France
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on France
Explain your No on France
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Portugal
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Portugal
Explain your No on Portugal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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England
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on England
Explain your No on England
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Germany
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Germany
Explain your No on Germany
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Netherlands
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Netherlands
Explain your No on Netherlands
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Norway
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Norway
Explain your No on Norway
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belgium
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Belgium
Explain your No on Belgium
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Switzerland
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Switzerland
Explain your No on Switzerland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Austria
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Austria
Explain your No on Austria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Croatia
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Croatia
Explain your No on Croatia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Türkiye
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Türkiye
Explain your No on Türkiye
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Scotland
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Scotland
Explain your No on Scotland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sweden
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sweden
Explain your No on Sweden
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Czechia
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Czechia
Explain your No on Czechia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bosnia and Herzegovina
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Bosnia and Herzegovina
Explain your No on Bosnia and Herzegovina
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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