Resolved Economy Polymarket

June Unemployment Rate

Top outcomes

4.2% 100%
4.0% 0%
4.1% 0%
4.3% 0%

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for June 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

$39K Vol. Closed Jul 2, 2026
Resolved outcome: 4.2%

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All outcomes

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$39K Vol.

4.2%

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

4.0%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4.1%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4.3%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4.4%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4.5%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4.6%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

≤3.9%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

≥4.7%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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TheBagHodler 💎 · Verified record
Forecast 4.3% · Polymarket 48% · +52/−48

✗ Incorrect forecast

Incorrect

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