Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
December 31, 2025 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$147K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,800 79% Yes No
↑ $8,200 40% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Paris on June 6?

21°C 100% Yes No
16°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?

32°C 100% Yes No
28°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 11?

$85 100% Yes No
$86 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

XRP above ___ on June 11?

0.70 100% Yes No
0.80 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Ethereum hit on June 8?

↑ 1,700 100% Yes No
↓ 1,650 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 5?

34°C 100% Yes No
28°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 3?

30°C or below 100% Yes No
31°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Seattle on June 17?

72-73°F 100% Yes No
66-67°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$144K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

375M 100% Yes No
400M 100% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bitcoin price on June 6?

<64,000 100% Yes No
>82,000 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 1 2026?

↑ $90 100% Yes No
↑ $95 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco 60% Yes No
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 55% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Claude Mythos released on…?

On or prior to June 9 100% Yes No
June 21 0% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Paris on June 1?

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 36%
Yes 64%
$141K Vol.
Polymarket