Resolved Polymarket

Claude Mythos released on…?

Top outcomes

On or prior to June 9 100%
June 21 0%
June 27 0%
June 28 0%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$142K Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026
Resolved outcome: On or prior to June 9

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$142.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$142K Vol.

On or prior to June 9

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 21

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 27

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 28

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 29

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 10

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 11

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 12

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 13

0% market probability

0%
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June 14

0% market probability

0%
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June 15

0% market probability

0%
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June 16

0% market probability

0%
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June 17

0% market probability

0%
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June 18

0% market probability

0%
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June 19

0% market probability

0%
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June 20

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 22

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 23

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 24

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 25

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 26

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Not released by June 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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