Politics
Elections, policy, and government
519 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
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Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia
24%
Yes
No
Russia
10%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$120K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald Brodie
16%
Yes
No
Stefan Brodie
16%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$523K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$78K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta join the US?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
3%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$60K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$44.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$81K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$618K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$118K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$449K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$11.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$280K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$362K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Showing 361–384 of 519