Politics

Elections, policy, and government

422 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$115K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$795K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 33% Yes No
September 30 9% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$846K Vol.
Polymarket

X banned in any European country by December 31?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

December 31 93% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 42% Yes No
Chuck Schumer 37% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 76% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Umaru Dikko Radda 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027 58% Yes No
December 31, 2026 39% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$10.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

No election before 2027 97% Yes No
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$111K Vol.
Polymarket

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket