Politics
Elections, policy, and government
422 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
Sorted by date
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$252K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
April 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$115K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$795K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
December 31
33%
Yes
No
September 30
9%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$195K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
October 31
96%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$846K Vol.
Polymarket
X banned in any European country by December 31?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
93%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$46K Vol.
Polymarket
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Next Senate Majority Leader?
John Thune
42%
Yes
No
Chuck Schumer
37%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
76%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$123K Vol.
Polymarket
Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Umaru Dikko Radda
80%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+27 more outcomes
$14K Vol.
Polymarket
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 2027
58%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
39%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$10.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027
97%
Yes
No
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$111K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 361–384 of 422