Politics

Elections, policy, and government

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Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 87% Yes No
No Head of State 4% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 53% Yes No
Karen Bass 46% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 2026 34% Yes No
November 30, 2026 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$761K Vol.
Polymarket

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$258K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$17.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner 100% Yes No
Steve Witkoff 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$311K Vol.
Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
November 30 11% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
July 31, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$292K Vol.
Polymarket

Clavicular in jail by...?

December 31 27% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket

Epstein client list released by...?

October 31 5% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$4.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$463K Vol.
Polymarket

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$268K Vol.
Polymarket

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$825K Vol.
Polymarket World

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
November 2, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$49K Vol.
Polymarket

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
November 15 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$85K Vol.
Polymarket

French election called by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
October 10 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World