Policy & Courts
Forecasts in Policy & Courts · Politics
19 open forecasts of 517 in Politics
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Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
40%
Yes
No
48
16%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Other
46%
Yes
No
Democrats 8-10%
28%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$159K Vol.
Polymarket
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$229K Vol.
Polymarket
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
64%
Yes
No
Republican Party
36%
Yes
No
$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
No
October 31
7%
Yes
No
$91K Vol.
Polymarket
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$174K Vol.
Polymarket
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia
14%
Yes
No
Russia
10%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$115K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
52%
Yes
No
John Thune
24%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$174K Vol.
Polymarket
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
14%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$13K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
50%
Yes
No
December 31
14%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027
22%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
$753K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time
58%
Yes
No
60+
24%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$924K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
26%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
20%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$576K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
No
24%
Yes
76%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket