Macro

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change 92% Yes No

Decrease 7% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$103K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6% 76% Yes No

4.6-4.9% 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$79K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change 96% Yes No

25 bps hike 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$43K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

46.0 to 48.9 47% Yes No

43.0 to 45.9 44% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$27K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change 92% Yes No

Decrease 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$96K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change 84% Yes No

25 bps increase 15% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$185K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase 66% Yes No

No change 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$97K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

2.5–2.9% 34% Yes No

3.0–3.4% 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$62K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in October?

No change 86% Yes No

25 bps increase 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$45.5M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 97% Yes No

25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$249K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

No change 55% Yes No

25 bps increase 37% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change 96% Yes No

25 bps increase 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$629K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0% 64% Yes No

2.5–3.0% 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$60K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1% 50% Yes No

1.2-1.5% 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$71K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.0-1.2% 42% Yes No

1.3%+ 40% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$63K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

2.5-3.0% 34% Yes No

3.0-3.5% 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$56K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

0.0 to 0.1% 41% Yes No

0.2 to 0.3% 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$33K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple 74% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$66K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet 80% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$78K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+ 96% Yes No

31M+ 90% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$40K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.29% 100% Yes No

5.32% 14% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA 78% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$545K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+ 28% Yes No

2.7-2.8M 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$51K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change 82% Yes No

25 bps increase 17% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$146K Vol.

Polymarket Economy