Open Economy Polymarket

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

Top outcomes

0.0 to 0.1% 36%
0.2 to 0.3% 22%
0.4 to 0.5% 13%
<-0.2% 12%

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

$32K Vol. Closes Oct 30, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$32.3k Vol.

All outcomes

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$32K Vol.

0.0 to 0.1%

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on 0.0 to 0.1% Explain your No on 0.0 to 0.1% (optional)

0 / 2,000

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0.2 to 0.3%

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 0.2 to 0.3% Explain your No on 0.2 to 0.3% (optional)

0 / 2,000

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0.4 to 0.5%

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on 0.4 to 0.5% Explain your No on 0.4 to 0.5% (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<-0.2%

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on <-0.2% Explain your No on <-0.2% (optional)

0 / 2,000

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-0.2 to -0.1%

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on -0.2 to -0.1% Explain your No on -0.2 to -0.1% (optional)

0 / 2,000

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0.6%+

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 0.6%+ Explain your No on 0.6%+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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