Finance

United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?

84% to 85% 39% Yes No

85%+ 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$22K Vol.

Polymarket

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change 92% Yes No

Decrease 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$96K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple 74% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$66K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet 80% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$78K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

5.29% 100% Yes No

5.32% 14% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA 76% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$539K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

No change 74% Yes No

25 bps decrease 20% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$69K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.40% 100% Yes No

5.45% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$242K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.70% 100% Yes No

4.75% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0% 100% Yes No

Below 4.7% 24% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$412K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20% 38% Yes No

Below 5.15% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$120K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50% 28% Yes No

Below 4.45% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$134K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No

↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$422K Vol.

Polymarket

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.00 19% Yes No

$3.00-$3.50 19% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$74K Vol.

Polymarket

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple 56% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$47K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet 68% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$79K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 72% Yes No

December 15, 2026 66% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$5.0M Vol.

Polymarket

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$245K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+ 77% Yes No

$6.00-$6.50 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$105K Vol.

Polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No

4.4% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

70% 100% Yes No

65% 90% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$38K Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 1% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$54.5M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 66% Yes No

Apple 29% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$723 Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech