Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Highest temperature in NYC on July 1?

92-93°F 100% Yes No
86-87°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$151K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 4?

33°C 100% Yes No
32°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 26?

27°C 100% Yes No
24°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 1?

27°C 100% Yes No
23°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Tread launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 86% Yes No
December 31, 2026 72% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$150K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 16?

38°C 100% Yes No
33°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on July 13?

32°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in NYC on July 9?

86-87°F 100% Yes No
76-77°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 29?

27°C 100% Yes No
24°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?

32°C 100% Yes No
26°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries 83% Yes No
D-Wave 76% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 72% Yes No
Paige Bueckers 15% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 29?

27°C 100% Yes No
22°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?

96-97°F 100% Yes No
94-95°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the third best AI model end of June?

Anthropic 100% Yes No
xAI 0% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Paris on July 7?

33°C 100% Yes No
32°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$148K Vol.
Polymarket

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Forecasts closed
December 31, 2026 21% Yes No
December 31, 2025 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$147K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 2?

36°C 100% Yes No
29°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

ALIGN public sale total commitments?

>$1M 0% Yes No
>$2M 0% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

August 31 57% Yes No
August 14 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket