Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

70-120mm 88% Yes No
120-210mm 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Actor F 50% Yes No

+62 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Tim O'Hare 50% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

No 83%
Yes 17%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 51% Yes No
March 31, 2027 50% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-24 House Election Winner

Salud Carbajal (D) 97% Yes No
Bob Smith (R) 2% Yes No
$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause 60% Yes No
Pause-Hike-Hike 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

NH-02 House Election Winner

Maggie Goodlander (D) 96% Yes No
Lily Tang Williams (R) 3% Yes No
$52K Vol.
Polymarket

#2 Spotify Artist 2026

Drake 76% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

CA-46 House Election Winner

Lou Correa (D) 95% Yes No
David Pan (R) 4% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

US 28% Yes No
Australia 18% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

October 31 2% Yes No
October 2 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Harry Kane 96% Yes No
Lamine Yamal 94% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

25-29 62% Yes No
30-34 25% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

The Game Awards: Best Multiplayer

Other 50% Yes No
Game A 50% Yes No

+46 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

Ed Markey (D) 98% Yes No
John Deaton (R) 2% Yes No
$51K Vol.
Polymarket

KY-01 House Election Winner

James Comer (R) 96% Yes No
Drew Williams (D) 3% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+ 47% Yes No
2.7-2.8M 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

TX-27 House Election Winner

Michael Cloud (R) 95% Yes No
Tanya Lloyd (D) 5% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R) 97% Yes No
Heidi Kuhn (D) 2% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$50K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

CA-18 House Election Winner

Zoe Lofgren (D) 98% Yes No
Shane Lewis (R) 2% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Linera launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 16% Yes No
September 30, 2027 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket