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Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Top outcomes
Harry Kane
96%
Lamine Yamal
94%
Ousmane Dembélé
93%
Rodri
89%
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$51K Vol.
Closes Dec 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$50.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$51K Vol.
Harry Kane
96% market probability
96%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 96%
+4 / −96
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 5%
+95 / −5
Lamine Yamal
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Explain your Yes on Lamine Yamal
Explain your No on Lamine Yamal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ousmane Dembélé
93% market probability
93%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 93%
+7 / −93
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 7%
+93 / −7
Explain your Yes on Ousmane Dembélé
Explain your No on Ousmane Dembélé
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rodri
89% market probability
89%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 89%
+11 / −89
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 11%
+89 / −11
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0 / 2,000
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David Beckham
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Explain your Yes on David Beckham
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kylian Mbappé
68% market probability
68%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
Explain your Yes on Kylian Mbappé
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael Owen
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
Explain your Yes on Michael Owen
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0 / 2,000
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Lionel Messi
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on Lionel Messi
Explain your No on Lionel Messi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Zinedine Zidane
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on Zinedine Zidane
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0 / 2,000
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Sergio Ramos
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Sergio Ramos
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0 / 2,000
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Kaka
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
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0 / 2,000
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Vinícius Júnior
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Vinícius Júnior
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0 / 2,000
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Xavi Hernandez
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Xavi Hernandez
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0 / 2,000
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Cristiano Ronaldo
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Cristiano Ronaldo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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