Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No
55%+ 62% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$144K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 31 76% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$144K Vol.
Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on October 20?

2,000 100% Yes No
2,100 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$143K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No
1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-28 House Election Winner

Judy Chu (D) 97% Yes No
April Verlato (R) 2% Yes No
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

October 1 - 31, 2026 68% Yes No
No return before November 1, 2026 28% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

3.5–3.9% 70% Yes No
3.0–3.4% 15% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Dolly Parton 55% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+68 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Other 50% Yes No
John Healey 8% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 58 8% Yes No
Above 64 8% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No
55%+ 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Zohran Mamdani 28% Yes No
Mark Carney 18% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$137K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will BULK launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2027 50% Yes No
March 31, 2027 48% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$137K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$136K Vol.
Polymarket

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$136K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50% 32% Yes No
Below 4.45% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$136K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

TN-04 House Election Winner

Scott DesJarlais (R) 97% Yes No
Victoria Broderick (D) 1% Yes No
$136K Vol.
Polymarket

NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$136K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 31 12% Yes No
October 15 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$135K Vol.
Polymarket

SSI public model released by…?

December 31 36% Yes No
November 30 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$134K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Stavky by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$134K Vol.
Polymarket