Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$165K Vol.
Polymarket

NBA Free Agency: Jalen Duren Next Team

Detroit Pistons 89% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$164K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

No 33%
Yes 67%
$162K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Lisa Nandy 100% Yes No
Ed Miliband 100% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$162K Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries 81% Yes No
D-Wave 76% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$161K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Drake 100% Yes No
Bad Bunny 100% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$160K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$160K Vol.
Polymarket

France United Left Primary Winner

Canceled 95% Yes No
François Ruffin 2% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$159K Vol.
Polymarket

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

LPV 38% Yes No
AS 37% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$159K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease 77% Yes No
No Change 21% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$159K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Republican 58% Yes No
Democrat 42% Yes No
$159K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$159K Vol.
Polymarket

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 72% Yes No
Caitlin Clark 9% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$157K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

Other 50% Yes No
$4M-$10M 49% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud 56% Yes No
Yashar 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$153K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Tread launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 79% Yes No
December 31, 2026 72% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 6%
Yes 94%
$147K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$147K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$147K Vol.
Polymarket