Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 30 32% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No
$264K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 2027 28% Yes No
December 31, 2026 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$264K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
November 30 23% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$260K Vol.
Polymarket

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Hodge Conjecture 32% Yes No
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 32% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$260K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$20M 5% Yes No
$10M 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$259K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$257K Vol.
Polymarket

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 61% Yes No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$257K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$256K Vol.
Polymarket

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Morgan Wallen 79% Yes No
Taylor Swift 4% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$255K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D) 90% Yes No
Zach Lahn (R) 11% Yes No
$254K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 42% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

iRobot 100% Yes No
Workhorse 16% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
October 31 7% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$253K Vol.
Polymarket

Natural Disaster in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$250K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 28% Yes No
December 31, 2028 22% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$249K Vol.
Polymarket

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$247K Vol.
Polymarket

Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M 46% Yes No
$400M 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$247K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Winner

BNK FEARX 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$245K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$245K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D) 95% Yes No
Bruce Blakeman (R) 5% Yes No
$243K Vol.
Polymarket

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Other 50% Yes No
Movie D 50% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$242K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

150 - 160m 72% Yes No
160 - 170m 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$241K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 97% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$240K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R) 76% Yes No
Amanda Janoo (D) 25% Yes No
$239K Vol.
Polymarket