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Crypto
Polymarket
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$200M
60%
$600M
57%
$400M
50%
$800M
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$195K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$194.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$195K Vol.
$200M
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
$600M
57% market probability
57%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 57%
+43 / −57
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 43%
+57 / −43
Explain your Yes on $600M
Explain your No on $600M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$400M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$800M
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1B
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1.5B
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on $1.5B
Explain your No on $1.5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$2B
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$3B
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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