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Polymarket
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$100M
56%
$200M
32%
$300M
26%
$2B
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$112K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$111.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$112K Vol.
$100M
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
$200M
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$300M
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$2B
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$500M
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$700M
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on $700M
Explain your No on $700M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1B
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$3B
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$4B
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on $4B
Explain your No on $4B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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