Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change 96% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$629K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$627K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 2027 19% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
$619K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$618K Vol.
Polymarket

OKX IPO in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$617K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31 72% Yes No
November 30 54% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$616K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 74% Yes No
June 30, 2027 44% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$613K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

December 31, 2027 42% Yes No
June 30, 2027 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$609K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT 31% Yes No
CATL 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$607K Vol.
Polymarket

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$602K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24 42% Yes No
<20 27% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$602K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Islam/None in 2026 94% Yes No
Khamzat Chimaev 4% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$600K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027 91% Yes No
$20B+ 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$599K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 31 98% Yes No
October 31 84% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$599K Vol.
Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$595K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$400M 4% Yes No
$200M 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$590K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R) 74% Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D) 24% Yes No
$588K Vol.
Polymarket

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$580K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$577K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$576K Vol.
Polymarket

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$576K Vol.
Polymarket

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

7.0% 5% Yes No
5.0% 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$568K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Maia Sandu 100% Yes No
Donald Tusk 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$568K Vol.
Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 94% Yes No
Marine Le Pen 92% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$567K Vol.
Polymarket