Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$527K Vol.
Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$525K Vol.
Polymarket
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)
82%
Yes
No
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
Yes
No
$518K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
October 31
9%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$515K Vol.
Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
54%
Yes
No
5-6
44%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$508K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
800k+
100%
Yes
No
1M+
10%
Yes
No
$507K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
MLB: 2026 NL East Champion
Atlanta Braves
77%
Yes
No
Philadelphia Phillies
18%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$504K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
September 30
2%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$497K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
70%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
27%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$494K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
7%
Yes
No
6.0%
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$487K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
64%
Yes
No
$40M
48%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$484K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$482K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$482K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will Enzo Fernandez transfer?
Manchester City
99%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$473K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$467K Vol.
Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
64%
Yes
No
Sen. Dan Sullivan
36%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$465K Vol.
Polymarket
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 31
96%
Yes
No
September 30
81%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$463K Vol.
Polymarket
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$462K Vol.
Polymarket
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
37%
Yes
No
$400M
30%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$460K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Petr Yan
54%
Yes
No
Merab Dvalishvili
38%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$459K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
September 30
12%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$457K Vol.
Polymarket
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
48%
Yes
No
No change
44%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$455K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
SBF released from custody in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$450K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
No
73%
Yes
27%
$450K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
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