Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$527K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$525K Vol.
Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 82% Yes No
Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No
$518K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?

October 31 9% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$515K Vol.
Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 54% Yes No
5-6 44% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$508K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

800k+ 100% Yes No
1M+ 10% Yes No
$507K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: 2026 NL East Champion

Atlanta Braves 77% Yes No
Philadelphia Phillies 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$504K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$497K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 70% Yes No
December 31, 2026 27% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$494K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0% 7% Yes No
6.0% 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$487K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$10M 64% Yes No
$40M 48% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$484K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$482K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$482K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Enzo Fernandez transfer?

Manchester City 99% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$473K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$467K Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 64% Yes No
Sen. Dan Sullivan 36% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$465K Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

October 31 96% Yes No
September 30 81% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$463K Vol.
Polymarket

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$462K Vol.
Polymarket

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M 37% Yes No
$400M 30% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$460K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 54% Yes No
Merab Dvalishvili 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$459K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

September 30 12% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$457K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 48% Yes No
No change 44% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$455K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$450K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

No 73%
Yes 27%
$450K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto